General information
Part of Conflict: Morocco: Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (Western Sahara)
Date of first stated goals of incompatibility: 1975-07-06
Comment on date of first stated goal of incompatibility: POLISARIO first announced its incompatibility vis-à-vis Morocco on 6 July 1975. Following the revelation of a secret agreement between Morocco and Mauritania to divide the territory of Western Sahara (then Spanish Sahara) between them, POLISARIO issued a statement arguing that “Faced with this threat, it is no longer a question of fighting against colonialism for independence; it is simply a question of the existence of our people. (…) We affirm that there will be no peace in the Sahara so long as the people have not been able to exercise their right to self-determination."
Date of first use of armed force: 1975-09-01
Comment on date of first use of armed force: The first reported clash between POLISARIO and Moroccan soldiers occurred on 1 September 1975. Up until this point, POLISARIO had mainly attacked the Spanish army, but on this date Spanish sources reported that POLISARIO had ambushed a group of Moroccan soldiers, killing 11. This shift on behalf of POLISARIO came after Spain had begun to seek a peaceful settlement through negotiation with POLISARIO, while Morocco rejected the Spanish plan for self-determination for Western Sahara.
First Battle Related Death: 1975-09-01
Comment on First Battle Related Death: The first reported clash between POLISARIO and Moroccan soldiers occurred on 1 September 1975. Up until this point, POLISARIO had mainly attacked the Spanish army, but on this date Spanish sources reported that POLISARIO had ambushed a group of Moroccan soldiers, killing 11. This shift on behalf of POLISARIO came after Spain had begun to seek a peaceful settlement through negotiation with POLISARIO, while Morocco rejected the Spanish plan for self-determination for Western Sahara.
Date when dyad reached 25 battle releated deaths: 1975-11-04
Comment on date when dyad reached 25 battle related deaths: By 4 November 1975, fighting between POLISARIO and Moroccan forces had caused more than 25 deaths. On this date, POLISARIO fighters and Moroccan soldiers clashed at Jdiria, killing 40.
Conflict issues
Conflict Goal Issues: POLISARIO (Popular Front for the Liberation of Saguia el Hamra and Rio de Oro: Frente popular de liberación de Saguia el Hamra y Rio de Oro) was a rebel group that sought independence for Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (SADR), also known as Western Sahara, territory then controlled by Mauritania and Morocco. The group was formed in 1973 by ethnic Saharawi, with the group claiming to be “the only legitimate representative of the Saharawi people”. POLISARIO was ideologically SADR nationalist but also had Islamic and socialist beliefs. The first stated conflict goal issue located by the project was for autonomy, expressed in the founding congress in 1973. The POLISARIO claimed their armed struggle to be “the means by which the Saharawi people can recover its total liberty and foil the manoeuvres of Spanish colonialism”. The somewhat vague notion of total liberty would gradually evolve into something more specific, with the POLISARIO declaring the following year that the Saharawi people sought independence for their land. Yet larger changes to their platform occurred in August 1976 and National General Program, after SADR had been proclaimed as a country in February the same year, with many more issues being added to the group’s list of goals. Generally, the group focused on independence, establishing a democracy, and establishing an Islamic state, as well as a host of other issues ranging from civil and religious rights to economic reforms that were comparatively smaller in scope. Based on the coded issues, independence was the POLISARIO’s main conflict goal issue as it was raised far more frequently than any other issue and is also one of the issues raised over the longest timespan by the group, being a core issue since very early on. It was, as the group explained in 1989, “Our unnegotiable objective […]”.
Conflict Dynamics Issues: The first coded conflict dynamics issue was raised 1974, a year before Spain relinquished its colonial control over the territory. The POLISARIO condemned failure of the Arab nations, especially those of the Maghreb and even more so Morocco in particular, to speak out against “the acts of colonialist Spain and its savage repression of the people”. Many more conflict dynamics issues were added in the years that followed. POLISARIO raised issues of collective targeting based upon ethnic identity, demanding the withdrawal of what was perceived as foreign military forces and for foreign forces to, in general, not interfere with the conflict, stating that “we are afraid that the conflict may be internationalized. Polisario’s policy was, is, and shall be an independent policy”. Despite this, the group did also simultaneously call on foreign or international support on several occasions, often in the context of recognition of national sovereignty or as providing security through peacekeeping or monitoring. Among the coded conflict dynamics issues, the POLISARIO appeared to focus primarily on decreasing foreign involvement through the withdrawal of foreign forces. They viewed Moroccan presence as an occupying force and saw the removal of troops as a necessary condition to enable a referendum to be held.
Conflict Resolution Issues: The earliest conflict resolution issue located by the project date back to 1978 with POLISARIO requesting that mediation should be handled by the Organisation of African Unity (OAU), not by France or Saudi Arabia. POLISARIO representative Omar Hadrami stated on the issue “Neither France nor Saudi Arabia are African countries and neither can substitute for the African continent”. While it should be noted that there is a low overall number of coded issues for this category, the POLISARIO were generally consistent in pursuing negotiations but raised few other issues besides that. While briefly adopting a hard line, stating to Reuters in 1982 that “We are no longer asking Morocco to discuss anything”, the group did call for negotiations again only a few years later. Due to the low number of coded conflict resolution issues, no main issues could be located for this category.
Type of conflict issues: Conflict Goal Issues: Autonomy, Basic needs, Change economic system, Change judicial system, Civil rights, Confederation/union, CPS: Democracy, CPS: Islamic state, Economic reforms, Education system: culture, Foreign policy reform, Human rights, Independence, Protection of cultural heritage, Public services, Referendum, Reform judicial system, Restructure military forces, Revenues from natural resources, Rule of law
Conflict Dynamics Issues: Collective targeting: ethnic, DFI: Removal of foreign influence, DFI: Withdrawal of military intervention/foreign forces, DFI: Withdrawal of military support, IFI: International monitoring, IFI: Military intervention/foreign forces, IFI: Military support, IFI: Recognition, IFI: Use of foreign influence, Release of prisoners, Return of refugees/IDPs
Conflict Resolution Issues: Call for ceasefire, Call for negotiations, Opposition to negotiations, Structure of negotiations
Annual information
This section contains annual information systematically collected by the UCDP.
1975
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 25 |
| Best | 25 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1976
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 25 |
| Best | 25 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): Government of Algeria
1977
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 25 |
| Best | 25 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1978
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 25 |
| Best | 25 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1979
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 1000 |
| Best | 1000 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1980
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 1000 |
| Best | 1000 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1981
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 25 |
| Best | 25 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1982
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 25 |
| Best | 25 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1983
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 25 |
| Best | 25 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1984
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 25 |
| Best | 25 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1985
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 25 |
| Best | 25 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1986
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 25 |
| Best | 25 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1987
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 25 |
| Best | 25 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1988
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 25 |
| Best | 25 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1989
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 378 |
| Best | 207 |
| Low | 207 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1990
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1991
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 21 |
| Best | 19 |
| Low | 19 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1992
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1993
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1994
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1995
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1996
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1997
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1998
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
1999
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2000
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2001
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2002
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2003
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2004
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2005
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2006
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2007
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2008
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2009
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2010
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2011
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2012
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2013
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2014
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2015
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2016
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2017
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2018
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2019
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 0 |
| Best | 0 |
| Low | 0 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2020
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 2 |
| Best | 2 |
| Low | 2 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2021
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 34 |
| Best | 6 |
| Low | 6 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2022
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 14 |
| Best | 14 |
| Low | 14 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2023
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 5 |
| Best | 5 |
| Low | 5 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2024
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 7 |
| Best | 7 |
| Low | 7 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
2025
| Estimated Fatalities | |
|---|---|
| High | 7 |
| Best | 7 |
| Low | 7 |
Secondary Warring Support:
Side A (Government of Morocco): n/a
Side B (POLISARIO): n/a
Dyad Archive
This section contains annual information no longer systematically collected by the UCDP.
1975 Dyad Archive
Comment on Active: The first clashes between POLISARIO and Moroccan forces broke out in the fall of 1975. Following reports that Morocco would annex the territory after Spain’s withdrawal, the rebels stopped attacking Spanish soldiers and shifted to Moroccan targets. A number of clashes took place during the remainder of the year, mainly in the northernmost part of Western Sahara but also in southern Morocco proper.
Negotiations: NO
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
1976 Dyad Archive
Comment on Yearly Battle Related Deaths: Often, the only available reports of battle-related deaths were the parties’ own claims of losses inflicted on the adversary. Such claims, particularly by POLISARIO, were often regarded with skepticism. Therefore, the best estimates usually rely mainly on the parties’ own admitted losses, resulting in a large divergence between the best and high estimates. The true death toll probably lies somewhere in between these estimates.
Comment on Active: The armed conflict between POLISARIO and Morocco in 1976 also saw the involvement of Algerian troops, fighting on the side of POLISARIO. Fighting during the year centered around strategic positions in the northern part of Western Sahara as well as Guelta Zemmour, further south. POLISARIO had set up the administration of the proclaimed Saharan Arab Democratic Republic in Guelta Zemmour, and suffered a major blow when it was captured by the Moroccans April.
Negotiations: NO
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
1977 Dyad Archive
Comment on Active: In January, Morocco reportedly prepared to launch a major operation to flush POLISARIO out of the Moroccan-held part of Western Sahara; however, the operation was apparently cancelled after meeting strong resistance from the rebels. POLISARIO targeted the Bu Craa phosphate mines during 1977, and threatened to attack foreign workers. Morocco at times accused Algeria of continued active involvement, but there was no evidence of Algerian participation as a secondary warring party in 1977.
Negotiations: NO
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
1978 Dyad Archive
Comment on Yearly Battle Related Deaths: Often, the only available reports of battle-related deaths were the parties’ own claims of losses inflicted on the adversary. Such claims, particularly by POLISARIO, were often regarded with skepticism. Therefore, the best estimates usually rely mainly on the parties’ own admitted losses, resulting in a large divergence between the best and high estimates. The true death toll probably lies somewhere in between these estimates.
Comment on Active: Sporadic fighting continued in 1978. After having declared a ceasefire in its conflict against Mauritania, POLISARIO was able to focus its forces against Moroccan targets during the latter half of the year. Heavy fighting was reported in September in southern Morocco.
Negotiations: YES
Comment on Negotiations: In October, talks regarding a possible ceasefire were held between POLISARIO and Moroccan officials in Mali. However, no major progress appears to have been made at these talks.
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
1979 Dyad Archive
Comment on Yearly Battle Related Deaths: Often, the only available reports of battle-related deaths were the parties’ own claims of losses inflicted on the adversary. Such claims, particularly by POLISARIO, were often regarded with skepticism. Therefore, the best estimates usually rely mainly on the parties’ own admitted losses, resulting in a large divergence between the best and high estimates. The true death toll probably lies somewhere in between these estimates.
Comment on Active: The conflict escalated in 1979. In January, POLISARIO announced the launch of a Houari Boumedienne offensive (in honour of the Algerian President who had died in late 1978). Meanwhile, POLISARIO had declared a ceasefire in its conflict against Mauritania in mid-1978, allowing the group to focus its forces against Moroccan targets. Following POLISARIO’s peace agreement with Mauritania on 5 August 1979, and the latter’s withdrawal from the southern part of Western Sahara, Morocco moved in and seized this territory, extending its sovereignty claim to the whole territory. Heavy fighting took place particularly during the later half of the year.
Negotiations: NO
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
1980 Dyad Archive
Comment on Yearly Battle Related Deaths: Often, the only available reports of battle-related deaths were the parties’ own claims of losses inflicted on the adversary. Such claims, particularly by POLISARIO, were often regarded with skepticism. Therefore, the best estimates usually rely mainly on the parties’ own admitted losses, resulting in a large divergence between the best and high estimates. The true death toll probably lies somewhere in between these estimates."
Comment on Active: By early 1980, it was reported that Morocco was in control of the territory and strategic positions along the coast, and stretching inland to include the Bu Craa phosphate mining area and Smara (together making up the what was called the “useful triangle” of Western Sahara), while POLISARIO controlled parts of Western Sahara and southern Morocco in a 60 mile radius of Tindouf in western Algeria, where its main bases were situated. In between Moroccan and POLISARIO positions lay large swathes of desert, where the rebels were reportedly able to move at ease.
A major campaign was launched by Morocco during the spring to recapture Zag, near the eastern border with Algeria. Some 7000 troops participated in the first thrust, which was beaten back by POLISARIO in March. In May, Morocco amassed some 20 000 troops and finally succeeded in capturing Zag. During the summer, another major campaign was launched, aiming to push POLISARIO south and affirm Moroccan control of the “useful triangle”. Fighting during the fall became concentrated around Ras El-Khanfra and Khreibichatt at the base of the Zini mountains, in the border area between Morocco and Western Sahara. In August, Morocco began the construction of a defensive wall which would protect the “useful triangle”. With the bulk of the Moroccan army tied up in this region, POLISARIO also launched attacks against towns further north, including Akka and Tata hundreds of kilometers inside Morocco proper.
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: No direct negotiations between POLISARIO and Morocco were held in 1980, despite repeated announcements by the rebels that they were prepared to hold direct negotiations with the government. However, the OAU “committee of wise men” set up in 1978 held a meeting in Freetown on 9-12 September, at which Morocco and POLISARIO (as well as Algeria and Mauritania) were represented. At the end of the meeting, the OAU committee presented a proposal for a ceasefire by the end of the year, a UN peacekeeping force and the holding of a referendum organized jointly by the UN and the OAU. The proposal was accepted by POLISARIO (with the addition that Moroccan forces must be withdrawn in order for the referendum to be free and fair), while Morocco rejected it. Although it agreed in principle to the idea of a referendum, the arrangement Morocco envisioned would not include international supervision and the Saharawi refugees in Algerian camps would not be consulted.
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
1981 Dyad Archive
Comment on Yearly Battle Related Deaths: Often, the only available reports of battle-related deaths were the parties’ own claims of losses inflicted on the adversary. Such claims, particularly by POLISARIO, were often regarded with skepticism. Therefore, the best estimates usually rely mainly on the parties’ own admitted losses, resulting in a large divergence between the best and high estimates. The true death toll probably lies somewhere in between these estimates."
Comment on Active: In May 1981, Morocco finished the construction of a “defensive wall” protecting its positions along the coast in northern Western Sahara. The territory held by Morocco, which included Smara and the Bou-Craa phosphate mines further inland, was referred to as the “useful triangle” of Western Sahara. Meanwhile, a massive POLISARIO attack in October drove the Moroccan army out of its previous stronghold in Guelta Zemmour, further south. Although the Moroccan army recaptured the base, it soon abandoned it and withdrew the bulk of its forces to the defensive line. Reportedly, POLISARIO was able to move freely through most of the territory outside the “useful triangle”.
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: The OAU continued to pursue a ceasefire and a referendum. However, while Morocco accepted the idea of a referendum in principle, it refused to negotiate directly with POLISARIO and rejected the idea of independence being an option in the referendum. This position was firmly stated by King Hassan during a national holiday in early March, at which time he declared that he would not agree to any solution which meant giving up part of Western Sahara. Before his departure to an OAU summit in June, King Hassan famously stated that “we will not renounce a single grain of sand of this Moroccan Sahara” following all the human and financial costs the country had incurred in the struggle.
At the Nairobi summit in June 1981, the OAU adopted an eight-point peace plan for Western Sahara. Having gained a conditioned acceptance from Morocco on a referendum, the plan proposed an OAU Implementation Committee, a ceasefire, a joint UN-OAU peacekeeping force, and the holding of a free and fair referendum on self-determination. However, Morocco subsequently made clear that it would not allow POLISARIO to campaign before the referendum, not let Saharawi refugees in Algeria (numbering some 100 000) vote. King Hassan made it clear that the only acceptable outcome would be a “confirmation” of Moroccan sovereignty. Meanwhile, POLISARIO announced a number of conditions that needed to be fulfilled for the referendum to be free and fair, including direct negotiations between the primary warring parties, withdrawal of Moroccan troops, return of Saharawi refugees, release of political prisoners and an international interim administration.
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
1982 Dyad Archive
Comment on Active: Following Morocco’s change in tactics to retrenchment in the area referred to as the “useful triangle”, the conflict intensity decreased in 1982. To penetrate the protective barrier constructed by the Moroccan army would require heavy weaponry and thousands of fighters, and POLISARIO did not stage such an attempt during the year. Rather, the rebels staged sporadic hit-and-run attacks at different points along the barrier. While the defensive line was not breached, these sporadic and unpredictable attacks reportedly wore heavily on the morale of the Moroccan soldiers.
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: No progress was made in the OAU peace process, as Morocco continued to refuse to negotiate directly with POLISARIO. Meanwhile, in April, secret talks were held between Moroccan and POLISARIO officials in Algiers. However, it appears these talks were only exploratory and did not address the incompatibility, thus they did not constitute formal negotiations.
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
1983 Dyad Archive
Comment on Yearly Battle Related Deaths: Often, the only available reports of battle-related deaths were the parties’ own claims of losses inflicted on the adversary. Such claims, particularly by POLISARIO, were often regarded with skepticism. Therefore, the best estimates usually rely mainly on the parties’ own admitted losses, resulting in a large divergence between the best and high estimates. The true death toll probably lies somewhere in between these estimates."
Comment on Active: In January, a POLISARIO spokesperson declared that the rebels were at a stage of mobilizing and preparing for a final assault on the Moroccan defensive line. Following a relative calm in the first half of the year, fighting escalated from July onwards. During the lull in fighting in 1982 and early 1983, the rebels had apparently acquired heavier weaponry, including tanks and sophisticated missiles, and in mid-1983 they began launching renewed attacks on Moroccan positions. Following a number of POLISARIO attacks, the Moroccan forces in October launched a massive offensive to push POLISARIO back.
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: Despite attempts by the OAU to bring the parties to the negotiating table and start the process towards a referendum, no talks were held in 1983 as Morocco’s King Hassan refused to negotiate with POLISARIO.
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
1984 Dyad Archive
Comment on Yearly Battle Related Deaths: Often, the only available reports of battle-related deaths were the parties’ own claims of losses inflicted on the adversary. Such claims, particularly by POLISARIO, were often regarded with skepticism. Therefore, the best estimates usually rely mainly on the parties’ own admitted losses, resulting in a large divergence between the best and high estimates. The true death toll probably lies somewhere in between these estimates.
Comment on Active: Following a major offensive against POLISARIO in late 1983, the Moroccan forces in 1984 extended the defensive lines by constructing a new section of wall which reached Amgala, east of Bou-Craa and near the border with Mauretania. This meant that the southern part of Western Sahara could only be reached by the rebels from their Algerian bases by crossing Mauritanian territory. Meanwhile, POLISARIO continued to carry out intermittent harassment raids and occasional stronger assaults against the Moroccan defensive line. In mid-October, the rebels launched a “Greater Maghreb Offensive”, resulting in heavy clashes with Moroccan forces near Zaag in southern Morocco. Another section of wall was then begun along the short border between Western Sahara and Algeria, resulting in further heavy fighting.
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: Morocco’s King Hassan continued to reject negotiations with POLISARIO, and no negotiations were held in 1984. However, it was reported that “exploratory talks” had been held between POLISARIO and Moroccan officials during the spring, following talks between Morocco and Algeria.
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
1985 Dyad Archive
Comment on Yearly Battle Related Deaths: Often, the only available reports of battle-related deaths were the parties’ own claims of losses inflicted on the adversary. Such claims, particularly by POLISARIO, were often regarded with skepticism. Therefore, the best estimates usually rely mainly on the parties’ own admitted losses, resulting in a large divergence between the best and high estimates. The true death toll probably lies somewhere in between these estimates.
Comment on Active: Morocco continued the construction of new sections of defensive wall in 1985, and by September the wall extended a total 900 miles, from Zaag in southern Morocco to Dakhla on the coast in the southern part of Western Sahara. This meant that Morocco was now in control of two-thirds of Western Sahara. Meanwhile, POLISARIO continued to carry out small-scale harassment raids against the Moroccan defensive line, accompanied by occasional stronger assaults.
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: No negotiations took place, as Morocco continued to refuse to talk directly to POLISARIO. As the OAU-sponsored peace process continued to stall, Morocco made an attempt to launch a process towards a referendum without prior negotiations with POLISARIO. A resolution to this effect was introduced at the UN General Assembly, but failed and instead a resolution along the lines of the OAU proposals was accepted.
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
1986 Dyad Archive
Comment on Active: POLISARIO continued to carry out sporadic attacks on the Moroccan defensive wall, mainly in the Tifariti and Bir Lahlou in the north and around Amgala, Guelta Zemmour and Farsia in the south. Fighting reportedly escalated during the later half of the year.
Negotiations: YES
Comment on Negotiations: In April 1986, indirect talks were held in New York under the auspices of UN secretary-general Javier Pérez de Cuellar, who held separate talks with delegations representing Morocco and POLISARIO. Pérez de Cuellar was accompanied as mediator by Senegal’s Defense Minister Medoune Fall, representing the OAU, and Algerian and Mauritanian representatives were present as observers. The talks focused on finding a mutually accepted process for a referendum, but made little headway; POLISARIO insisted on direct negotiations and removal of Moroccan troops, demands which were rejected by Morocco.
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
1987 Dyad Archive
Comment on Yearly Battle Related Deaths: Often, the only available reports of battle-related deaths were the parties’ own claims of losses inflicted on the adversary. Such claims, particularly by POLISARIO, were often regarded with skepticism. Therefore, the best estimates usually rely mainly on the parties’ own admitted losses, resulting in a large divergence between the best and high estimates. The true death toll probably lies somewhere in between these estimates.
Comment on Active: In the first few months of 1987, Morocco built a new section of defensive wall, accompanied by heavy fighting as POLISARIO attempted to stop the construction. Following the completion of the wall, Morocco controlled an area stretching to the coastal town La Guera on the border with Mauretania. A brief ceasefire was announced by POLISARIO in late November, in order to allow a UN mission to safely travel through the areas where fighting was taking place and assess the situation.
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: There were no negotiations between Morocco and POLISARIO in 1987, although King Hassan showed signs of taking a more conciliatory stance in July when he stated that if the Saharawi people voted for independence in a referendum then Morocco would be quick to establish friendly relations with the new state. Previously, King Hassan had firmly rejected the possibility of giving up the Western Saharan territory. This change in stance further reinforced an ongoing rapprochement between Morocco and Algeria, although the latter did not fully abandon its support for POLISARIO.
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
1988 Dyad Archive
Comment on Active: Fighting continued in 1988, notably around the Oum Dreiga area in the southern part of the territory.
Negotiations: YES
Comment on Negotiations: In August, indirect talks in Geneva, mediated by UN secretary-General Javier Pérez de Cuellar, culminated in the acceptance by both parties of a UN peace plan. The plan stipulated a ceasefire and subsequent referendum. However, POLISARIO underlined the need for withdrawal of Moroccan troops and guarantees by the UN ensuring that the referendum would be free and fair.
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
1989 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: YES
Comment on Negotiations: In early January 1989, a Polisario delegation, led by Mahfoud Ali Beiba, met with King Hassan in what was called an official meeting. The objective of the meeting was to discuss the UN-sponsored plan to end the war by holding a referendum to decide on the future status of the disputed territory. Several new rounds of talks were held throughout the first half of 1989. Political leaders of Algeria and Mauritania were present as well. The negotiation efforts effective as fresh fighting erupted in late September.
Victory: NO
Terminated: YES
Type of termination: No or Low Activity
Date of termination: 1989-12-31
Comment on Termination Date: 1989 was the last year when fighting between the parties to the conflict resulted in at least 25 deaths. Thus, the conflict is coded as terminated as of 31 December 1989.
1990 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Terminated: NO
1991 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
1992 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Terminated: NO
1993 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: YES
Comment on Negotiations: Representatives of the Moroccan government and Polisario met in July. They discussed the planned referendum regarding the status of the disputed territory, and specifically who were eligible to vote. The issue proved contentious and soon stalled the talks.
Terminated: NO
1994 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Terminated: NO
1995 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Terminated: NO
1996 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Terminated: NO
1997 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: YES
Comment on Negotiations: Several rounds of negotiations were held in 1997, mediated by special envoy James Baker. Observers from Mauritania and Algeria attended the meeting. The talks were referred to as a "breakthrough" by POLISARIO. The negotiations resulted in an agreement (Houston Accords), which included aspects such as releases of prisoners, refugee repartriation, the identification of eligible voters, access for international observers and UN authority to intervene.
Terminated: NO
1998 Dyad Archive
Terminated: NO
1999 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
2000 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: YES
Comment on Negotiations: Three face to face meetings were held during the year under the auspices of the Secretary-General’s Personal Envoy James Baker III. The first one took place in London in May, and was also attended by neighbouring Algeria and Mauritania. No progress was made, and the meeting ended with the envoy inviting the parties to come forward at the next meeting with concrete suggestions on how to resolve the multiple problems facing the settlement plan (i.e. the plan launched by the UN in 1988, and discussed ever since), or else, to be prepared to discuss alternative options. The second meeting was held in London in June. The parties both presented areas of difficulties with the settlement plan, but neither offered specific proposals to resolve these problematic areas, which both could agree to. In September, the third and final meeting of the year was held in Berlin. As no progress was made and neither party seemed open to discuss their position, the Secretary- General’s Personal Envoy suggested that new options should be explored. However, both POLISARIO and the Moroccan representatives reiterated their commitment to the settlement plan. However, they both continued to disagree on its correct implementation.
Terminated: NO
2001 Dyad Archive
Terminated: NO
2002 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Terminated: NO
2003 Dyad Archive
Terminated: NO
2004 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: Throughout the first half of 2004 UN envoy James Baker continued his efforts to find a solution to the West Saharan conflict. However, Morocco did not accept the plan that Baker had presented the previous year. The reason for this was that the plan involved a referendum in which the people in Western Sahara where to vote for autonomy, staying within the Moroccan state or independence; an alternative that Morocco did not accept. As a result of this Baker resigned as the top UN envoy to Western Sahara in June. Despite Baker´s resignation, the efforts to implement his peace plan did not stop. Spain, Algeria and UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan´s special representative, Alvaro de Soto, backed the Baker Plan II for peace in Western Sahara and tried to realize it without achieving any results throughout the year.
Terminated: NO
2005 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: Efforts to solve the dispute between Morocco and Polisario continued during 2005. In May, the UN Security Council renewed its plea to the warring parties to end their decades-old dispute and in August, POLISARIO released their last Moroccan prisoners of war after mediation by the United States, in a gesture to boost prospects for a lasting settlement for the region. Later the same month, the United States held talks with Morocco and Algeria to move closer to a solution. Further efforts were made by the new UN Special Envoy for Western Sahara, Peter van Walsum, in October with a tour covering Algeria, Morocco and Mauritania. However, all these efforts gave no tangible results. Morocco tawed its position that a referendum with an alternative of independence for West Sahara was not to think of and hence, once again, dismissed the Baker Plan.
Terminated: NO
2006 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: Negotiations did not move forward during the year, and a final solution remained in an impasse. In April, the Moroccan king offered to grant Western Sahara autonomy within Moroccan territorial sovereignty, but the POLISARIO Secretary-General firmly refjected this proposal, stating that only a referendum on independence would satisfy his people. The situation thus remained stalemated
Terminated: NO
2007 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: YES
Comment on Negotiations: Two rounds of negotiations were held under UN auspices during the summer, with a third round scheduled for January 2008, marking the first direct talks between the parties in over seven years. However, no agreement was reached as the government continued to stick to its proposal for limited autonomy under Moroccan sovereignty for Western Sahara, while POLISARIO maintained its demand for a referendum with a choice of autonomy or independence. In December, POLISARIO threatened that they would consider going back to armed conflict to "speed up the process".
Terminated: NO
2008 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: YES
Comment on Negotiations: The third round of talks between POLISARIO and the Moroccan government under UN auspices started in January 2008 in Manhasset, near New York City. The talks ended without the parties reaching further agreement than to resume talks in March. Also the fourth round of negotiations which took place in March at the same location, was without success. The government continued to stick to its proposal for limited autonomy for Western Sahara under Moroccan sovereignty, while POLISARIO maintained its demand for a referendum with a choice of autonomy or independence. POLISARIO in May once again expressed their skepticism over the possibility of a political solution and renewed the threat of possibly resuming violence. POLISARIO further demanded that the UN Special Envoy Peter Van Walsum from the Netherlands be exchanged as he had expressed a bias in favor of the aggressor stating that independence for Western Sahara was unrealistic. A fifth round of negotiations was planned to take place during 2009.
Terminated: NO
2009 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: YES
Comment on Negotiations: Direct talks between the government of Morocco and POLISARIO were held in August in Duernstein, Austria. The informal negotiations were led by the new UN Special Envoy for Western Sahara, Christopher Ross. Although the parties appeared satisfied with the talks and promised continued negotiations in the near future, no progress towards an agreement appeared to have been made, as Morocco continued to propose autonomy while POLISARIO demanded a referendum and possible independence.
Terminated: NO
2010 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: YES
Comment on Negotiations: Informal talks were held between the government of Morocco and POLISARIO near New York during February but broke down after two days without reaching any progress. The two parties met again in November 8-9th outside New York in UN-sponsored talks led by Christopher Ross, the UN special envoy to Western Sahara. Unfortunately, the talks were overshadowed by an incident in Western Sahara where the Moroccan military had just days before the talks, entered a camp near Laayoune, resulting in a small number of fatalities. Subsequently, the talks did not lead to anything substantive.
New talks were held December 16-18th in New York, again led by Christopher Ross. These talks also ended in deadlock as each party continued to reject the proposals of the other. However, the parties did agree to meet again for talks in January and March 2011.
Victory: NO
Terminated: NO
2011 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: YES
Comment on Negotiations: Between January and July 2011, four meetings were held, three of them in New York and one of them in Malta. The issues under discussion included the potential inclusion of representatives from Western Sahara's population in future peace negotiations, but there was no major headway on the central issue of the status of Western Sahara. While negotiations resumed, tensions persisted. For example, POLISARIO representatives criticized Morocco's inclusion of Western Sahara in a constitutional reform vote in March 2011. Following the July meeting, Morocco claimed it would not attend further meetings until after the national elections in November, an announcement that was criticized by the POLISARIO front. There were no further meetings held in 2011.
Terminated: NO
2012 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: YES
Comment on Negotiations: A new round of negotiations took place in New York in March 2012, led by UN Special Envoy for Western Sahara, Christopher Ross. While the parties reached limited consensus on issues such as natural resources or trust-building measures, there was no major progress on the fundamental issue of the status of Western Sahara. Following the meeting, both parties stated that the focus of the talks had been on humanitarian issues instead of the conflict itself. In September 2012, another meeting was held in Geneva. This meeting was focused on the implementation trust-building measures between the government of Morocco, MINURSO and the POLISARIO front. Despite the lack of progress on the status of Western Sahara, The UN Special Envoy for Western Sahara emphasized the importance of further rounds of negotiations to avoid the persistance of the unstable status quo.
Terminated: NO
2013 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: There were no direct rounds of negotiations between the two parties in 2013. The UN Secretary-General's annual report emphasized the necessity for independent monitoring of human rights situation on the ground, for example by respectively adjusting MINURSO's mandate. A respecive US-led proposal was however rejected by Morocco in April.
Terminated: NO
2014 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: There were no direct negotiations between Morocco and the POLISARIO front in 2014. Given the lack of progress, there were frequent demonstrations by the Sahrawi population, for example for economic rights and self-determination. Despite several clashes during the protests, the overall situation was considered calm in the UN Secretary-General's annual report. Both parties maintained their positions without making further compromises, the overall peace process remained stalled.
Terminated: NO
2015 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: Negotiations remained at an impasse in 2015. Despite international calls for a continuation of the peace process, there were no direct negotiations between the two parties. Demonstrations by the Sahrawi population persisted, given deteriorating living conditions in refugee camps and the lack of progress in the peace talks. The human rights situation in Western Sahara also remained tense. Morocco furthermore objected parts of thhe UN Secretary-Generals last annual report, which further complicated resumption of the peace process.
Terminated: NO
2016 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: There were no direct negotiations between Morocco and the POLISARIO Front in 2016, therefore tensions continued to persist. For instance, Morocco's decision to remove a number of international civilian personnel sparked heavy criticism from the POLISARIO Front. Moroccan troops furthermore cleared an area in the Guerguerat region to construct a desert track that was linking several posts along the border. This resulted in troop deployments by POLISARIO in the area, which were aimed at stopping the ongoing work at the border. As a result, both parties accused each other of having violated the ceasefire. The respective tensions in Guerguerat remained unresolved throughout 2016.
Terminated: NO
2017 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: Representatives from Morocco and the POLISARIO front met separately with UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres in the first months of 2017. Tensions were still persisting due to clashes in the Guerguerat region, where both Morocco and the POLISARIO front had deployed troops in 2016. The dispute deepened when Moroccan vehicles were repeatedly stopped in the region by Sahrawi group members, prompting Morocco to demand an intervention by MINURSO. During the meetings in early 2017, the Secretary General called for a withdrawal of both parties' forces from Guerguerat to stabilize the situation. Both forces eventually withdrew their forces from Guerguerat. Nevertheless, the process was still complicated, for example by Morocco's king's declaration on four principles for Western Sahara. Those included Moroccos full sovereignity over Western Sahara as non-negotiable, which sparked doubts in Morocco's dedication to the peace process. There were no direct negotiations or meetings between the conflicting parties in 2017.
Terminated: NO
2018 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: YES
Comment on Negotiations: As part of the UN-led peace process, representatives from Morocco and the POLISARIO front engaged in talks that took place in Geneva in December 2018. Those meetings marked the restart of direct negotiations between the two parties, which had been faced with an impasse since 2012. Among the issues discussed was the situation in Guerguerat and the status of the ceasefire agreement from 1991. Following the Geneva meetings, the negotiation process was predicted to continue, with a new round of negotiations scheduled for the first quarter of 2019.
Terminated: NO
2019 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: YES
Comment on Negotiations: The negotiations held in late 2018 continued with a second round of talks between the parties in March 2019. Consensus was reached on several issues, including the benefits of a solution of the Western Sahara issue for the Maghreb region as well as the region's role in contributing to a solution. Although the parties remained open for subsequent rounds of negotiations to address the core elements of the conflict, there were no further direct talks in 2019. This was mainly due to the resignation of the UN Special Envoy for Western Sahara and the following lack of an immediate successor. This sparked criticism among POLISARIO and the Sahrawi people, since the peace process had again reached an impasse.
Terminated: NO
2020 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: The peace process remained characterized by an ongoing deadlock throughout 2020, following the resignation of the UN Special Envoy for Western Sahara in May 2019. The lack of progress and increasing violations of the 1991 ceasefire agreement led to an escalation of tensions in 2020. Following repeated clashes in Guerguerat, the Moroccan military entered the demilitarized area, after which the POLISARIO front ended the ceasefire agreement and declared war. Given those developments, there were no direct negotiations between the two parties in 2020.
Terminated: NO
2021 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: Following the end of the ceasefire in 2020, the deadlocked peace process did not continue in 2021. Despite a respective call by the UN Security Council, no new negotiation rounds were scheduled. Instead, tensions and violence in the region persisted.
Terminated: NO
2022 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: Despite efforts by the UN Special Envoy to enable another round of talks, there were no direct negotiations between Morocco and the POLISARIO Front in 2022. Instead, there were continuous reports of violence in the region, although they were allegedly less intense than in the previous year. During their individual meetings with the envoy, Morocco and the POLISARIO front both reiterated their positions: Morocco insisted on autonomy of Western Sahara whereas POLISARIO representatives continued to stress the necessity for a referendum on self-determination in Western Sahara. Morocco furthermore stressed its policy to make the relations with third parties increasingly dependent on their position on Western Saraha. Nevertheless, both parties also expressed support for a potential continuation of the UN-led peace process.
Terminated: NO
2023 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: The levels of violence remained lower than in the previous year throughout 2023, yet there was no reactivation of direct negotiations between the two parties. Despite informal negotiation attemps by the UN Special Envoy for Western Sahara, both parties continued to insist on their positions on the most fundamental issues of the conflict, with no further attempts to find a compromise.
Terminated: NO
2024 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: Despite respective efforts by the UN Special Envoy, negotiations did not resume in 2024. In Western Sahara, low intensity hostilities continued throughout the year. Concerning a long-term solution, both Morocco and the POLISARIO Front continued to insist on their positions, with Moroccos position being strengthened by France's public support of the Moroccan autonomy plan from 2007. Furthermore, there were disagreements on the future format of negotiations, with Morocco favoring a round table format and the POLISARIO Front insisting on bilateral dialogue with Morocco. Furthermore, the UN Special Envoy introduced the ideas of a cessation of hostilities for Ramandan and a partition of the disputed territory, both of which were rejected by Morocco and the POLISARIO Front.
Terminated: NO
2025 Dyad Archive
Negotiations: NO
Comment on Negotiations: There were no direct negotiations between Morocco and the POLISARIO Front in 2025.
Terminated: NO